Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD to retrace towards long-term support at $21.87/17 – Commerzbank

Silver’s correction higher has been thwarted by the 55-day moving average at $24.93. Karen Jones, Team Head FICC Technical Analysis Research at Commerzbank, would allow for failure here.

Near-term on the defensive

“Silver has rallied to and been capped by the 55-day ma at $24.93. The recent rally is regarded as corrective only and we are alert to failure here. This would cast attention back to the long term pivotal support at $21.87/17. These represent the September and November 2020 lows and also the July 2014 high and the 2016 high. These are considered to be a major band of support and we expect them to hold.” 

“Initial resistance is the $24.95 recent high, but extend up to tougher resistance offered by $26.07, the August high. XAG/USD will need to regain this area to regenerate bullish impetus we suspect.” 

“Initial support is $22.85. Below $21.17 (not favoured) would see another leg lower to the $20.75/50% retracement and then the 200-week ma at $18.95.”