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3 Apr 2020

Gold remains confined in a range, moves little post-NFP

  • The NFP report showed that the US economy lost 701K jobs in March.
  • The unemployment rate spiked to 8.7% as compared to 7.1% expected.
  • The market, however, had a rather muted reaction to the jobs report.

Gold extended its sideways consolidative price action around the $1615 region and had a rather muted reaction to the US monthly employment details

A combination of diverging forces failed to assist the commodity to build on its positive move witnessed over the past two trading session and led to a subdued/range-bound trading action on the last day of the week.

The prevailing cautious mood around the equity market, coupled with a fresh leg down in the US Treasury bond yields turned out to be one of the key factors that extended some support to the precious metal.

The positive factor, to a larger extent, was offset by the prevailing strong bullish sentiment surrounding the US dollar, which undermined demand for the dollar-denominated commodity and capped the upside.

The USD remained well supported by concerns over the economic fallout from the coronavirus pandemic, further illustrated by Thursday's unprecedented surge in the US initial weekly jobless claims.

Meanwhile, the latest US monthly jobs report showed that the number of employed people decreased by 701K in March as compared to 100K expected and the unemployment rate jumped to 8.7%.

However, the fact that the report pertains to a period until March 12, before lockdowns in any major US state, the market reaction was rather muted and did little to provide any meaningful impetus.

Technical levels to watch

 

Apr 3, 2020

United States Average Weekly Hours above forecasts (34.1) in March: Actual (34.2)

United States Average Weekly Hours above forecasts (34.1) in March: Actual (34.2)
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Apr 3, 2020

USD/JPY New York Price Forecast: US dollar remains supported vs. yen, NFP non-event

USD/JPY is stabilizing near the 108.00 handle while challenging the 200 SMA on the daily chart. US Nonfarm Payrolls plummeted by 701K in March however the new
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