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2 Apr 2013

Forex: EUR/GBP rises to 0.8479 after German CPI

FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - The EUR/GBP was cornered between 0.8426 and 0.8450/60 area during the London morning but the publication of the preliminary release of the CPI report in Germany triggered a breach of the upper band, allowing the print of a daily high at 0.8479. Besides of the annualized headline figure, at 1.4% in March, data came in higher than expected.

The monthly CPI in Germany came in at 0.5% (consensus of 0.4%) from 0.6% in the prior month, while the HICP came in at 0.4% (consensus of 0.3%), from 0.8%, and the annualized number unchanged at 1.8% (consensus at 1.7%).

“From a longer-term perspective, the recent inability to make any significant new highs and the move below the key support at 0.8445 (11/02/2013 low) suggest a weakening momentum”, wrote MIG Bank analyst Bijoy Kar, pointing to another key support at 0.8266 (16/01/2013 low).
Apr 2, 2013

Forex Flash: The reason for lack of Cypriot reaction is that it is not unprecedented - BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman analysts believe that one of the reasons why there has not been a stronger reaction to the losses inflicted on the uninsured depositors in Cyprus is because it is not unprecedented.
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Apr 2, 2013

Forex Flash: Capital flight abounds in Eurozone – UBS

According to Research Analyst Gareth Berry at UBS, “We expect that the theme of capital flight out of the Eurozone will continue to run for some time in the wake of the Cyprus bailout.” The immediate focus, of course, is on deposit flight but capital controls will be expected to do their job for now. Of course, the images of bank runs and deposit flight are powerful, but we expect capital flight in the form of investment outflows is even more pernicious.
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