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CFTC and a quiet start to this week - Westpac

Analyst at Westpac explained Friday's Commitment of Traders report and today's lack of liquidity.

Key Quotes:

"Friday’s Commitment of Traders report from the CFTC showed little change in spec positioning on AUD, with leveraged funds trimming net shorts only from -27.5k to -24.6k over the week to 2 Feb. Asset managers however continued to buy back AUD and at +0.9k are long for the first time since July 2014.

Leveraged funds’ EUR shorts continue to be trimmed, from –89k to -75k while their JPY positions were little changed, at +16k despite the BoJ’s negative rates surprise. Leveraged funds remained heavily short GBP (especially) and CAD.

Australia’s calendar is fairly light this week, with business and consumer sentiment surveys the main releases. Most key Asian markets are closed today, including Singapore, Hong Kong and Shanghai, with Tokyo the key exception. New Zealand is closed for Waitangi Day."

Switching form China, oil is key market driver

The markets will remain focused on oil and the volatility we have seen in 2016's continuation of 2014's downtrend from just below $107.50c bbls.
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PBOC Q4 monetary policy report against major easing near term - Goldman Sachs

The PBOC’s Q4 monetary policy report released over the weekend suggests that RRR cuts could add to depreciation pressure on the RMB and warns against largescale monetary easing, notes the team at Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C, concluding that over a longer horizon, the report signals a moderately dovish bias.
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