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21 Jun 2023

USD/CHF continues oscillation below 0.9000 ahead of Fed Powell’s testimony and SNB policy

  • USD/CHF is consolidating below 0.9000 as the focus shifts to SNB policy and Powell’s testimony.
  • US equities are expected to remain volatile as a continuation of hawkish guidance from the Fed would accelerate fears of recession.
  • SNB Jordan is expected to raise interest rates by 25 bps to 1.75%.

The USD/CHF pair is consistently oscillating in a narrow range below the psychological resistance of 0.9000 in the European session. The Swiss Franc asset is showing a subdued performance as the upside seems capped due to non-directional performance by the US Dollar Index (DXY) and expectations of an interest rate hike by the Swiss National Bank (SNB).

S&P500 futures have turned negative again as investors are turning cautious ahead of Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell’s testimony. US equities are expected to remain volatile as a continuation of hawkish guidance from the Fed would accelerate fears of recession.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is displaying topsy-turvy moves around 102.60. Economists at ING believe the first week of July is when we’ll get the most important set of data releases in the United States, so Powell’s words can determine whether DXY will end the quarter above or below the 102.00 mark.

Contrary to the USD Index, US Treasury yields have not lost their resilience. The 10-year US Treasury yields have climbed to near 3.76%.

On the Swiss Franc front, the interest rate decision by the SNB will be in focus. Among G10 economies, the Swiss economy is operating at the lowest inflation levels, recorded at 2.2% in May. SNB Chairman Thomas J. Jordan is expected to raise interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) to 1.75%. Reuters reported SNB Jordan cited that "It's really important to bring Swiss inflation to a level of price stability," He further added it would not be a good idea to wait for inflation to rise and then raise interest rates. "When inflation remains under 2% for a long time, we don't have a problem,"

 

Jun 21, 2023

USD Index: Weakness below 102.50 intraday support should signal a renewed downturn – Scotiabank

USD continues to consolidate broadly ahead of Fed Chairman Powell’s semi-annual congressional testimony to a House panel. Shaun Osborne, Chief FX Stra
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Jun 21, 2023

Mexico Private Spending (QoQ) above forecasts (-0.7%) in 1Q: Actual (2.2%)

Mexico Private Spending (QoQ) above forecasts (-0.7%) in 1Q: Actual (2.2%)
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